[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jun 23 00:20:48 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 230021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230021 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-230215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0721 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN NM/TX AND OK PANHANDLES/SOUTHERN
KS/NORTHWEST OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 544...545...

VALID 230021Z - 230215Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 544/545 CONTINUE UNTIL 04Z...WITH THE
RELATIVELY GREATEST LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST NM/SOUTHWEST KS AND THE OK/NORTHERN TX PANHANDLES OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ALTHOUGH NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WILL
MONITOR FOR AN ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE ACROSS SOUTHERN
KS/NORTHWEST OK.

RELATIVELY WELL ORGANIZED MCS...DRIVEN BY STRONG COLD POOL/COMPOSITE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO/ACROSS
SOUTHWEST KS AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES AND NORTHWEST OK THROUGH MID
EVENING. DOWNSTREAM OF THE MCS...A CORRIDOR OF RELATIVELY
UNPERTURBED AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
KS/NORTHEAST NM INTO THE OK/NORTHERN TX PANHANDLES AND NORTHWEST
OK...WITH MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG PER AUGMENTED RUC
SOUNDINGS. MODEST LOW LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL JET AND ADEQUATE
INSTABILITY OUTSIDE OF EARLIER CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS /NAMELY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLES/ SUGGESTS CONTINUED SOUTHEAST FORWARD
PROPAGATION INTO 20 KNOTS OF LOW LEVEL STORM RELATIVE INFLOW...WITH
LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL CONTINUING.

..GUYER.. 06/23/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

36120417 36490246 37810158 38219854 36559747 34670054
34080334 

WWWW