[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 221931
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221931 
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-222100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF GA/EASTERN AL/FL PANHANDLE/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221931Z - 222100Z

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE AN ISOLATED DOWNBURST/HAIL THREAT
THROUGH AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF GA/EASTERN AL/FL
PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

IN PRESENCE OF UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH...HOT TEMPERATURES/WELL
MIXED AIRMASS HAS LEAD TO PULSE-TYPE STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IN PRESENCE OF WEAK CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. GIVEN MOIST
AIRMASS /PW VALUES AROUND 1.5 INCHES/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY OF
1000-1500 J/KG IN PRESENCE OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR /20 KTS OR LESS
PER ATLANTA WSR-88D WVP/...AN EPISODIC SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THE MORE ROBUST STORMS.
ISOLATED/MARGINAL NATURE OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE A
WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 06/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...JAX...MRX...FFC...TAE...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...

35538537 35788341 35438258 33708254 32538265 30358335
30348502 31108614 32628644 34008636 35178596 

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