[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Jun 22 14:25:45 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 221426
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221403 
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-221530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1295
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0903 AM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KY...SRN IL...FAR SW IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221403Z - 221530Z

A SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS WRN
KY...SRN IL AND FAR SW IND. HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS STORM COVERAGE EXPANDS.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDS NEWD ACROSS CNTRL MO INTO NCNTRL IL AND FAR NRN IND.
DEWPOINTS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S F AND
STRONG INSTABILITY IS PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF SRN IL...SRN IND AND
WRN KY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN WRN KY AND
SHORT-TERM MODEL FORECASTS EXPAND CONVECTIVE COVERAGE NWD THIS
MORNING. REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOW ABOUT 20 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WHICH COMBINED WITH THE STRONG INSTABILITY MAY BE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING 7.0 C/KM SUGGESTING A HAIL THREAT
WILL EXIST WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

..BROYLES.. 06/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

37028917 37828924 38478868 38548743 37628668 36788713
36578832 

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