[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jun 19 17:29:51 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 191730
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191730 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-191930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT MON JUN 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NH..WRN ME..MA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 191730Z - 191930Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FROM
NRN MA NNEWD ACROSS WRN ME.  WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

STRONG HEATING AND INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR AHEAD OF APPROACHING
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL INCREASE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
ACROSS THIS REGION TODAY.  TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY IN THE LOWER 90S
ACROSS MUCH OF MA/NH WITH STRONG HEATING ALSO ACROSS ME.  MLCAPE
AXIS IN EXCESS OF 1500 J/KG HAS ALREADY BECOME ESTABLISHED AND
FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 
SUFFICIENT SHEAR IS IN PLACE FOR ORGANIZED LINES AND POSSIBLY A FEW
SUPERCELLS ACCORDING TO REGIONAL VWPS. SEVERE THREAT MAY EVOLVE IN
TWO MODES...ONE WILL BE AS ONGOING STORMS SPREAD EWD OUT OF NY WITH
ANOTHER ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS NOW INCREASING NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN
OVER NH/WRN ME AS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADS EWD.

..EVANS.. 06/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

42257135 42497262 45217118 47386918 47136790 45056911
43377041 

WWWW