[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Jun 17 09:05:11 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 170902
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170902 
MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-171100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1218
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 AM CDT SAT JUN 17 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 500...

VALID 170902Z - 171100Z

LIMITED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SWRN OK.

MAIN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND
INTO ERN OK ATTM.  EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE A SLOW
WEAKENING...AS STORMS ENCOUNTER MORE STABLE AIRMASS OVER ERN OK.

MEANWHILE...A LIMITED THREAT FOR STORM REDEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO
EXIST ACROSS THE SWRN QUARTER OF OK -- WITHIN WW 500.  THIS REGION
REMAINS JUST DOWNSTREAM OF UPPER CIRCULATION CENTER NOW CROSSING THE
TX PNHDL...AND MODELS FORECAST AN INCREASE IN A WRN BRANCH OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

THOUGH ANY STORM REDEVELOPMENT WOULD LIKELY REMAIN GENERALLY
SUB-SEVERE...A LOCAL THREAT FOR MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL COULD
ACCOMPANY A FEW STRONGER STORMS.

..GOSS.. 06/17/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN...

35129928 36979623 36959445 34309710 34299998 

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