[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 170026
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170026 
KSZ000-170130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1208
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 170026Z - 170130Z

THE THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP E OF WW 491 BY 02Z AND AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NECESSARY.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A NEARLY SOLID CONVECTIVE LINE
HAS DEVELOPED FROM PHILLIPS AND SMITH COUNTIES IN N-CNTRL KS TO
CLARK COUNTY IN SWRN KS TO ROGER MILLS AND BECKHAM COUNTIES IN
W-CNTRL OK.  SMALLER-SCALE SURGES IN THIS LINE HAVE BEEN NOTED FROM
PHILLIPS AND SMITH COUNTIES SWD TO ELLIS AND RUSH COUNTIES IN
KS...AS WELL AS OVER NWRN OK.  THIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT DEEP
CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO FORWARD-PROPAGATE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF MORE ORGANIZED COLD POOLS.

WITH TIME...EXPECT FURTHER COLD POOL EXPANSION/INTENSIFICATION TO
OCCUR...WITH EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY
INTO S-CNTRL KS.  RELATIVELY STRONG GRADIENT FLOW WITHIN BOUNDARY
LAYER /WHICH SHOULD BE AIDED BY INTENSIFYING SLY LLJ/ WILL MAINTAIN
STRONG CONVERGENCE ALONG LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL...SUPPORTING
CONTINUED SYSTEM PROPAGATION.  DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD...THOUGH LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE.

..MEAD.. 06/17/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...DDC...

37119833 38089841 38469823 38849775 39069716 38809666
37889665 37119710 37019754 

WWWW