[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Thu Jun 15 05:50:13 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 150548
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150548 
SDZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-150645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1190
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN HIGH PLAINS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 484...

VALID 150548Z - 150645Z

VALID PORTIONS OF WT 484 ACROSS WRN ND AND WRN SD HAS AN EXPIRATION
OF 07Z.  

LINGERING TSTMS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ACROSS NWRN/NCNTRL SD EARLY THIS
MORNING AS THEY MOVE AWAY FROM THE PRIMARY LARGE SCALE ASCENT
LOCATED FARTHER W.  TSTMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING RECENTLY VCNTY
SUB-SYNOPTIC LOW ALONG THE MT/ND BORDER AND UPSTREAM ACROSS SCNTRL
MANT SWD INTO EXTREME NERN MT ALONG A SFC TROUGH.  RUC SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT THESE STORMS WERE ROOTED ABOVE A STABLE LAYER AND
SHOULD MAINLY BE AN ISOLD LARGE HAIL THREAT.  

GIVEN THE OVERALL DECREASE IN TORNADO PROBABILITIES AND A LINGERING
THREAT FOR ONLY ISOLD LARGE HAIL...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT RENEWED
WW WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS THE HIGHER PLAINS THIS MORNING.

..RACY.. 06/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

43410178 43730476 48440718 49000730 49860727 50250378
49400135 47120052 44149973 

WWWW





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