[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jun 11 23:57:01 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 112355
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112355 
WYZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-120230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/ERN ID  AND NWRN WY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 112355Z - 120230Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ENEWD AROUND
25 KTS ACROSS SRN/SERN ID...EVENTUALLY INTO NWRN WY BEFORE WEAKENING
THIS EVENING. 

SVR STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ON THE WRN EDGE OF AN INSTABILITY AXIS
THAT EXTENDS DOWN THE MAGIC/SNAKE RIVER VALLEY AND AHEAD OF A SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WRN ID. SUFFICIENTLY STRONG MID
LEVEL WINDS /40-45 KTS/ ALONG WITH MODEST INSTABILITY /MLCAPES FROM
500-1000 J/KG/ SHOULD SUPPORT SOME SVR THREAT WITH THE ONGOING
TSTMS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL TSTMS THAT MAY DEVELOP OVER THE SNAKE
RIVER VALLEY EWD INTO NWRN WY. RELATIVELY MARGINAL INSTABILITY
SHOULD LIMIT THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SVR WIND/HAIL AND THUS A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

..CROSBIE.. 06/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RIW...TFX...PIH...BOI...

43710873 44720926 44621129 42931475 42081444 42681097
42960996 

WWWW