[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jun 11 03:43:29 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 110342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110342 
ILZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-110545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1134
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1042 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CENTRAL MO INTO ERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459...

VALID 110342Z - 110545Z

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING OVER FAR
NWRN AREAS OF WW 459...AND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. ALSO...MCS OVER NWRN KS WILL CONTINUE SEWD AND WILL
BE WATCHED FOR POSSIBLE WW INTO NERN KS.

SEVERE STORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED OVER FAR NERN KS/NWRN MO ALONG ZONE
OF DEEP CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ON NOSE OF LOW LEVEL
JET. INSTABILITY REMAINS STRONG...ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
STORM ORGANIZATION IS MARGINAL. STILL...LIFT WILL PERSIST ALONG
FRONTAL ZONE WITH LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND LIKELY WITH
STRONGER CELLS.

LATER TONIGHT...MCS NOW ENTERING N CENTRAL KS...OR AT LEAST OUTFLOW
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE...WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE FURTHER AND MAY PROVIDE FORCING FOR ADDITIONAL AND/OR
INCREASED STORM COVERAGE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR PORTIONS OF NERN
KS FOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND POSSIBLE WW LATER TONIGHT.

..JEWELL.. 06/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

38989499 38889140 38868902 38078897 37289513 

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