[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jun 7 02:07:15 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 070206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070205 
WIZ000-070300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1091
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 PM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 445...

VALID 070205Z - 070300Z

...TORNADIC THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE...

UPPER TROUGH AXIS AND ASSOCIATED LARGE SCALE ASCENT ARE GRADUALLY
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS WI TOWARD LOWER MI...PER RECENT INCREASE IN
CONVECTION ON LEE SIDE OF LAKE MI.  STRONGEST AXIS OF INSTABILITY
REMAINS WEST OF THE LAKE AND IS GRADUALLY DECREASING WITH LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING.  RADAR DATA SUPPORTS THESE TRENDS WITH SUPERCELL
CHARACTERISTICS BECOMING LESS IDENTIFIABLE.  MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
SHOULD BE THE GREATEST RISK WITH REMAINING ACTIVITY.

..DARROW.. 06/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...

42628970 43358904 43998943 44408827 43698747 42858798 

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