[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jun 7 00:53:33 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 070052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070052 
AZZ000-070215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1089
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 PM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 443...

VALID 070052Z - 070215Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 443 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z FOR SOUTHERN
AZ...WITH CONTINUED DAMAGING WIND/ISOLATED HAIL POTENTIAL. WILL
MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE/EXTENSION INTO
SOUTHWEST AZ.

AT 0045Z...MCS/HABOOB WITH HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS/BLINDING DUST
CONTINUES TO ADVANCE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS PINAL COUNTY INTO
SOUTHEAST MARICOPA COUNTY. THIS COMPLEX APPEARS LIKELY TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE PHOENIX AREA OVER THE NEXT HOUR. GUSTS OF 46 KTS
WERE RECENTLY MEASURED AT CASA GRANDA AT 0015Z.

FARTHER EAST...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED OVER THE
MOUNTAINS EAST OF TUCSON. ALTHOUGH THE AIRMASS HAS STABILIZED TO A
DEGREE PER EARLIER CONVECTION...THESE STORMS COULD POSE A SIMILAR
DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS THEY MOVE ONTO THE DESERT FLOOR OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS GIVEN 30-35 KTS OF STEERING FLOW PER TUCSON/S WSR-88D
VWP.

AMBIENT AIRMASS REMAINS DEEPLY MIXED OUTSIDE OF EARLIER CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS...WITH DCAPE OF 12OO J/KG PER 21Z PHOENIX RAOB/00Z TUCSON
RAOBS...FAVORABLE FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. ISOLATED HAIL MAY ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

..GUYER.. 06/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

34181398 34011250 33831138 33671024 32630948 31560915
31430984 31451101 31871253 32471396 

WWWW