[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 061619
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061619 
OKZ000-TXZ000-061815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1082
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL THROUGH E CNTRL OK AND EXTREME NERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061619Z - 061815Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY FROM E CNTRL THROUGH
SERN OK BY 18-19Z. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE
MAIN THREATS. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

LATE THIS MORNING A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM A DYING CLUSTER OF
STORMS IS MOVING SWD THROUGH OKFUSKEE CO AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
SWD MOVING MCV. A 30 KT WSWLY LOW LEVEL JET IN CNTRL OK WILL VEER
AND WEAKEN WITH TIME. HOWEVER...12Z RAOB FROM NORMAN SUGGESTS THE
CAP MAY BECOME SUFFICIENTLY WEAK FOR NEW STORMS TO DEVELOP WITHIN
ZONE OF ASCENT AHEAD OF THE VORT MAX ALONG THE SWD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB THROUGH THE UPPER 80S. SLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW VEERING TO NWLY 35 KT AT 6 KM WILL MAINTAIN VERTICAL
SHEAR AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR STORMS TO ORGANIZE
INCLUDING FORWARD PROPAGATING MULTICELLS AS WELL AS POTENTIAL FOR
SOME UPDRAFTS TO ROTATE.

..DIAL.. 06/06/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

35199624 35229533 34939491 33879484 33639627 35129717 

WWWW