[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Wed Jun 21 17:57:52 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 211758
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211758 
COZ000-211930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1275
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CDT WED JUN 21 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 211758Z - 211930Z

CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL CO. AS THE
STORMS INCREASE IN INTENSITY...AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL AND/OR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY
ACROSS THE REGION.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW ACROSS THE OK PANHANDLE WITH A COLD
FRONT BACKED UP AGAINST THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS AND FRONT RANGE.
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE COLORADO SPRINGS
AND THIS CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE FOOTHILLS. OTHER
STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE SURROUNDING PEAKS AND MOVE EWD INTO THE
COLORADO PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THE CONVECTION NEAR COLORADO SPRINGS
IS DEVELOPING NEAR A MAXIMA IN MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY ACCORDING TO
THE RUC AND ALONG A THERMAL GRADIENT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
80S F JUST SOUTH OF THE COLORADO SPRINGS AREA. THE HIGH SFC TEMPS
ARE CREATING LARGE TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS EXCEEDING 40 DEGREES F IN
PLACES SUGGESTING A THREAT FOR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL EXIST. IN
ADDITION...MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE VERY STEEP SUGGESTING HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

..BROYLES.. 06/21/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

37550319 37640484 38670512 39930478 39970336 39440289
38580293 

WWWW





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