[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Jun 17 18:36:23 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 171834
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171834 
LAZ000-TXZ000-171930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1222
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 PM CDT SAT JUN 17 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX...SWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 501...

VALID 171834Z - 171930Z

ARC OF VIGOROUS DEEP CONVECTION ON LEADING EDGE OF MATURE MCS COLD
POOL CONTINUES DEVELOPING EAST INTO STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS FROM
THE UPPER TX GULF COAST TO THE WRN LA BORDER. VIL AND LIGHTNING
TRENDS SUGGESTS THAT STORMS MAY BE STARTING TO WEAKEN AS ACTIVITY
OUTRUNS STRONGER LARGE SCALE SUPPORT FOR ASCENT. LIMITED SHEAR AND
GENERALLY SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE LINE SHOULD FURTHER LIMIT SEVERE WIND
POTENTIAL. WHILE ISOLATED WET DOWNBURSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR THE
TX/LA BORDER AND NEAR THE GULF COAST...ADDITIONAL WATCHES IN THIS
REGION DO NOT APPEAR LIKELY AT THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 06/17/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

29479379 29149570 30179430 31229403 32249419 32349290
30959268 29179219 

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