[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jun 14 06:21:00 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 140619
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140619 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-140815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1178
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0119 AM CDT WED JUN 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC/NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 478...

VALID 140619Z - 140815Z

06Z SFC ANALYSIS/RADAR DEPICT THE REMNANTS OF ALBERTO JUST S OF
KAGS.  A WARM FRONT EXTENDS NEWD THROUGH THE COASTAL PLAINS OF SC/NC
AND GIVEN STRONGEST PRESSURE FALLS VCNTY THIS BOUNDARY...THE LOW
SHOULD MIGRATE NEWD ALONG THIS PATH THROUGH 12Z.  

THE LONGEST-LIVED CONVECTIVE BAND HAS BEEN LIFTING NWD ACROSS SC
WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS TRACKING EAST OF US 52.  HERE...TSTMS HAVE
BEEN ENCOUNTERING THE WARM FRONT AS THEY MOVE NEWD.  0-1KM SHEAR
DERIVED FROM THE CHS VWP WAS QUITE STRONG...ON THE ORDER OF 360+
M2/S2 AND CONTINUES TO BE SUPPORTIVE FOR TORNADOES.  

SPIRAL BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW...BUT STRONGER
STORMS SHOULD FAVOR THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE EWD TO THE COAST.  THIS
WILL BRING THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR TORNADOES TO AREAS NEAR/E
OF KFLO THROUGH 08Z.  OTHER STORMS COULD FORM OFFSHORE AND MOVE NWD
INTO SRN COASTAL NC LATER THIS MORNING.  AS THE STRONGEST LLJ AXIS
SHIFTS EWD...THE TORNADO THREAT MAY SPREAD UP THE COAST INTO ERN NC
NEAR/AFTER 12Z.

..RACY.. 06/14/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

33038147 34907863 35627745 34977644 34137670 33047839
32057983 31798065 32328145 

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