[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 121245
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121245 
FLZ000-121415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1150
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 121245Z - 121415Z

TORNADO/WATERSPOUT THREATS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS AND A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN AN HOUR OR TWO.

12Z SFC ANALYSIS PLACES A WARM FRONT ACROSS KTPA/KMLB. S OF THIS
FRONT...TROPICAL AIR MASS EXISTS WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID-UPPER
70S.  12Z MFL SOUNDING SHOWED NO CINH AND 3800 J/KG MUCAPE.  THIS
SUGGESTS THAT AS HEATING COMMENCES...TSTMS ARE APT TO DEVELOP ACROSS
SRN FL AND MOVE NNWWD INTO CNTRL FL.  HIGHER 0-1KM SRH VALUES EXIST
VCNTY THE WARM FRONT...BUT WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE OVER MOST OF CNTRL
AND SRN FL THROUGH THE MORNING AS ALBERTO MIGRATES CLOSER TO THE
WCOAST. AS A RESULT...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY LATER IN THE AFTN AND ACROSS THE CNTRL PARTS
OF THE STATE.

..RACY.. 06/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

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