[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Jun 6 21:05:28 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 062104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062104 
NMZ000-COZ000-062300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1086
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0404 PM CDT TUE JUN 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN CO AND NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 062104Z - 062300Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS -- IN ADDITION TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL -- WILL EXIST ACROSS EASTERN CO AND NORTH
CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NM THROUGH EARLY EVENING. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

BENEATH UPPER RIDGE...STRONG HEATING/LOW LEVEL EAST-SOUTHEAST
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL LEAD TO INCREASING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ALONG THE
I-25 CORRIDOR OF EASTERN CO AND NORTH CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NM OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. GIVEN THE UPPER RIDGE...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
ARE RATHER WEAK...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 15-25 KTS.
SLOW MOVING STORMS SHOULD TEND TO REMAIN NEAR THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND
ADJACENT FOOTHILLS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. MULTICELL CLUSTERS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PULSE-TYPE LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS. WEAK FLOW REGIME
AND RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS WILL FAVOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS
WELL.

..GUYER.. 06/06/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

40230499 39680430 37900372 36400376 35480453 35330513
35570628 36090634 36970594 38950576 39990535 

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