[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jul 28 20:46:01 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 282047
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282046 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-282245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1652
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT FRI JUL 28 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND MUCH OF OK/SOUTHERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 282046Z - 282245Z

POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED MICROBURSTS/LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND MUCH OF
OK/SOUTHERN KS.

ON THE FRINGE OF A MID LEVEL IMPULSE/VORTICITY MAXIMA ACROSS
NORTHWEST TX...THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES...NORTHWEST TWO-THIRDS OF OK...AND FAR SOUTHERN KS. THE
AMBIENT AIRMASS IS RATHER MOIST/WEAKLY CAPPED...WITH MLCAPES OF
1500-2500 J/KG OR HIGHER...MAXIMIZED ACROSS WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO
SOUTHERN KS. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES/PRESENCE OF DRY AIR ALOFT
WILL SUPPORT MICROBURST/ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. PER REGIONAL PROFILERS/WSR-88D
VWPS...WEAK WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THE LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERE WILL KEEP
THE THREAT RATHER PULSE/ISOLATED IN NATURE...WITH
MICROBURSTS/LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. NO WATCH IS
ANTICIPATED.

..GUYER.. 07/28/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

37120062 37589886 37799670 37249560 35909568 35269578
34199679 33500049 34180121 35440138 36940086 

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