[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jul 28 02:13:49 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 280214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280213 
MNZ000-280315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1647
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0913 PM CDT THU JUL 27 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 648...

VALID 280213Z - 280315Z

WHILE A STRONG STORM OR TWO CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 04Z...OVERALL CONVECTIVE INTENSITY SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT STORMS OVER BECKER AND CASS
COUNTIES CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS OF 0207Z...AND THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH 04Z.  IT APPEARS THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF DIURNAL
COOLING AND RESULTANT INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INHIBITION COUPLED WITH
PASSAGE OF STRONGER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE TO THE E ARE
LIKELY CONTRIBUTING TO THESE CONVECTIVE TRENDS.  THUS...REMAINING
PORTION OF WW 648 WILL LIKELY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO ITS
04Z EXPIRATION TIME.

..MEAD.. 07/28/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...

46759603 47089625 47469617 48059516 47839405 47119337
46389381 46199477 