[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 192115
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192115 
NEZ000-192245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1567
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0415 PM CDT WED JUL 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 192115Z - 192245Z

POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS/PERHAPS SOME
HAIL ACROSS SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NEB THROUGH EARLY EVENING. 

VISIBLE SATELLITE FEATURES HIGH BASED TOWERING CU ALONG A PREFRONTAL
TROUGH...ROUGHLY ORIENTED SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ACROSS NEB. THE
AMBIENT AIRMASS/BOUNDARY LAYER IS VERY DEEPLY MIXED ACROSS MUCH OF
NEB...WITH TEMPERATURES WELL IN EXCESS OF 100F. WHILE VERTICAL
SHEAR/INSTABILITY IS MODEST ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE PREFRONTAL
TROUGH...IT APPEARS THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STRONG
DOWNDRAFTS/PERHAPS SOME HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING GIVEN THE INVERTED-V PROFILES/VERY LARGE
DCAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG. IT IS LIKELY THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE LARGELY
TIED TO THE DIURNAL CYCLE...WITH A DIMINISHING TREND LIKELY AROUND
SUNSET.

..GUYER.. 07/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

40750193 41500186 42249982 42579824 42259781 41189922
40830079 

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