[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jul 19 19:25:51 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 191924
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191924 
MOZ000-192030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1563
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 PM CDT WED JUL 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL INTO SERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 191924Z - 192030Z

POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST INTO THIS EVENING.  A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEEPENING CUMULUS FIELD ALONG A
RESIDUAL SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM N OF VIH TO NEAR FAM.  HERE...AIR
MASS HAS BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF 3000-4000 J/KG
OWING TO A HOT AND QUITE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. LOCAL VADS/VWPS
INDICATE THAT VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS QUITE WEAK AS REGION IS ON ERN
PERIPHERY OF CNTRL/SRN PLAINS HIGH.  HOWEVER...THE STRONG
INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE INTENSE UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT WITH SOME
STORMS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

..MEAD.. 07/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...

37619237 38209257 38659220 38739150 38449081 37979026
37409008 36919044 36929135 

WWWW