[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 140025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140025 
NCZ000-VAZ000-140130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1506
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0725 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN NC/FAR SOUTHERN VA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595...

VALID 140025Z - 140130Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 595 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 01Z.
ALTHOUGH DIMINISHING ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION/WW 595...SOME THREAT
FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN NC OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO
CONTINUE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT/COASTAL AREAS EITHER SIDE OF THE VA/NC
BORDER.

COMPOSITE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS HAVE PUSHED ORIGINAL WEST-EAST
BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD FROM SOUTHERN VA INTO THE FAR NORTHERN NC
PIEDMONT/COASTAL PLAIN. ALONG AND ADJACENT TO WW 595...ANY SHORT
TERM SEVERE THREAT RESIDES ALONG/SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY IN
ASSOCIATION WITH EASTWARD MOVING CONVECTIVE LINE NEARING THE I-85
CORRIDOR IN NORTH CENTRAL NC /AS OF 0015Z/. AMBIENT WARM SECTOR
REMAINS RELATIVELY UNSTABLE VIA PERSISTENCE OF 80S F TEMP/LOWER 70S
F DEWPOINTS...WITH MLCAPES OF 1500 J/KG. EVEN WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR...LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH THE
DAMAGING WIND THREAT...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING GIVEN REPETITIVE STORM MOTIONS/RELATIVELY HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT.

..GUYER.. 07/14/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

35618019 36427990 36537889 36567754 36497648 36217568
35847560 35567684 35577890