[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Jul 13 22:29:02 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 132228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132227 
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-140000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1504
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN SD/FAR EASTERN ND AND WESTERN/CENTRAL MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 596...

VALID 132227Z - 140000Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 596 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z...WITH CONTINUED
LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL. WILL MONITOR FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF AN ADDITIONAL WATCH EAST OF WW 596 ACROSS MN.

STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS EASTERN SD AND
SOUTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL MN...AHEAD AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT/POTENT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN DAKOTAS. ALTHOUGH
VERTICAL SHEAR IS MODEST ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...ORGANIZED
MULTICELLS/FEW SUPERCELLS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN PRESENCE OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY...WITH MLCAPES OF 2000 J/KG OR GREATER ACROSS
MOST OF WW 596.

ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF EXISTING EASTERN SD/WEST CENTRAL MN
STORMS...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS NEAR THE ND/MN BORDER ALONG THE COLD FRONT. FURTHER
EAST...STRONG STORMS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MN /BETWEEN
BEMIDJI-HIBBING/ SHOULD FURTHER WEAKEN UPON ENCOUNTERING A LESS
FAVORABLE AIRMASS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH
EAST OF WW 596 THIS EVENING.

..GUYER.. 07/13/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

48509723 48719549 48449376 47779263 45729355 44709429
44729596 44849725 46759727 

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