[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jul 2 23:49:03 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 022349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022348 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-030115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CDT SUN JUL 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CT...MA...ME...NH...RI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 575...

VALID 022348Z - 030115Z

TSTM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ISOLATED AND SUB-SEVERE ACROSS WATCH 575 SO
FAR. STRONGER STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL WIND MAX AND
APPROACHING FRONT HAVE REMAINED CONFINED TO NRN ME AND SRN QUEBEC
THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER...DIAGNOSTIC DATA INDICATED THAT
INSTABILITY AXIS WAS SITUATED FROM MA/SRN NH NEWD INTO WRN ME AND
COULD STILL FUEL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS
NRN PORTIONS OF WATCH 575 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

FARTHER SOUTH...FORCING FOR DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE MORE LIMITED
AND TIME OF DAY WILL ALSO HINDER ROBUST TSTM DEVELOP. THEREFORE...
PORTIONS OF WATCH 575 ARE LIKELY TO BE CANCELED PRIOR TO EXPIRATION.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

41697072 41697365 45077177 45046923 

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