[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jul 2 00:40:58 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020041
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020041 
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-020215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1407
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT SAT JUL 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SE WY/NEB PANHANDLE/SW SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 570...

VALID 020041Z - 020215Z

...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 570 CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF THE AREA WITH THREAT
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS EVENING...

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER CONVECTION HELPED INITIATE NEW STORMS
ACROSS NORTHWEST LARAMIE COUNTY...A FEW MILES N/NW OF CHEYENNE.
OVERALL THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING ACROSS SE WY...THOUGH
FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE LARAMIE MTNS MAY YIELD A BRIEF
STRONG/SVR STORM IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. OTHERWISE...STORMS ACROSS SW
SD HAVE MERGED INTO A SMALL COMPLEX AND SEVERE THREAT IS MINIMAL.
00Z SOUNDING FROM NORTH PLATTE INDICATES ENVIRONMENT IS STILL
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE VALUES NEAR 3000 J/KG...SO IT
APPEARS TSTMS WILL RIDE DOWN THE INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS NEBRASKA.
LARGE SCALE LIFT IS NOT STRONG...BUT SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A COLD
POOL AND WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASING LLJ SHOULD
SUPPORT CONTINUED STORMS THIS EVENING.

..TAYLOR.. 07/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...

41070178 41130522 41420557 43490536 43890433 44070366
43710208 42300174 

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