[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Jul 1 21:44:05 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 012144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012144 
NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-012315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1404
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0444 PM CDT SAT JUL 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WY/SW SD/NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 012144Z - 012315Z

...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
AND A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED NEXT 1-2 HOURS...

AIRMASS HAS BECOME MODERATE TO VERY UNSTABLE THIS AFTN FROM ERN WY
THROUGH SW SD INTO CNTRL NEB AS TEMPS HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S. MODIFIED 12Z RAPID CITY SOUNDING YIELDS AROUND 2300 J/KG
MLCAPE. LATEST VAD WIND DATA FROM NORTH PLATTE NEB INDICATES ELY SFC
FLOW UNDERNEATH AROUND 30-40 KT OF WLY FLOW ALOFT WHICH WOULD
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS. MODEL FORECASTS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY
FORECASTING STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A SFC FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM
SW NEB INTO NW IA. STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE WIND SHIFT ALONG
THE KS/NEB BORDER IN DECATUR COUNTY...AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO
CAREFULLY MONITOR THE SITUATION.

..TAYLOR.. 07/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...BOU...CYS...BYZ...RIW...

40880425 41470677 44850648 45140225 44340157 43040137
41040230 

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