[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Sat Jul 29 06:11:08 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 290612
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290611 COR
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-290700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1659
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 AM CDT SAT JUL 29 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND AND NWRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 652...

VALID 290611Z - 290700Z

CORRECTED FOR MD GRAPHIC

ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN ND AND NWRN
MN.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS ERN ND/NWRN MN AHEAD OF A
LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED IN NRN ND. WITH THE COLD
FRONT EXTENDING FROM NERN SD EWD INTO CENTRAL MN...THE STORM UPDRAFT
ROOTS ARE ELEVATED AND THE COOLING SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
RESULTING IN A STRONGER FRONTAL INVERSION AROUND 850 MB. THIS
SUGGEST HAIL WILL BE MAIN SEVERE THREAT. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUING SHIFTING EAST OF THE WATCH WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
POSSIBLE...THOUGH THE THREAT APPEARS TO BE TOO ISOLATED TO WARRANT
ANOTHER WW ISSUANCE.

..IMY.. 07/29/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...

45969868 47659877 47779652 48009450 47369390 46189513
45929676 45999803 

WWWW





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