[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Wed Jul 26 20:39:38 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 262037
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262036 
NEZ000-COZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-262230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1633
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NEB...FAR SERN WY AND NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 262036Z - 262230Z

STORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH
EARLY EVENING...WITH MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND/OR WIND LIKELY.

A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE SEWD ACROSS WY INTO THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS LATER TODAY...WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
ALOFT. THIS WILL HELP STORMS FROM SERN WY INTO WRN NEB TO PERSIST
AND LIKELY INCREASE IN INTENSITY. AREA PROFILERS INDICATE MARGINAL
SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION...BUT PERHAPS SUFFICIENT FOR
MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND WIND GUSTS GIVEN 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE AND
STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

..JEWELL.. 07/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

41150444 42150505 43110466 42860271 42610059 41699950
41049917 40339976 40040130 40300313 

WWWW





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