[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jul 24 20:32:46 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 242029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242029 
MIZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-242230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1618
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN MN...WI...SRN UPPER MI...NRN
LM...NWRN LOWER MI.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 639...

VALID 242029Z - 242230Z

TSTMS HAVE ORGANIZED INTO LINEAR CLUSTER ACROSS NRN WI.  ACTIVITY
HAS PRODUCED DAMAGING GUSTS IN TAYLOR COUNTY WI AND MRGLLY SVR HAIL
IN SEVERAL LOCALES.  THIS THREAT WILL CONTINUE AS ACTIVITY MOVES
SEWD THROUGH FAVORABLY MOIST AND BUOYANT INFLOW LAYER OVER
WI...BEFORE REACHING RELATIVELY COOL/STABLE MARINE LAYER OVER LM. 
WLY COMPONENT TO NEAR-SFC FLOW MAY SHUNT MARINE LAYER OFFSHORE
SLIGHTLY AND/OR RENDER IT SHALLOW ENOUGH FOR DAMAGING WIND THREAT TO
EXTEND OVER IMMEDIATE COASTAL WATERS OF E-CENTRAL/NERN WI AS WELL. 
REMAINS OF SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY...AS WELL AS CURRENTLY MORE
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT FARTHER NEWD OVER SRN UPPER MI...MAY APCH
PORTIONS NWRN LOWER MI IN 3-4 HOURS.  HOWEVER...MARINE LAYER WILL
GREATLY REDUCE MLCAPE OVER WATER AND FOR SEVERAL MILES
INLAND...LIMITING SVR POTENTIAL.  MEANWHILE MLCAPES 2000-3000 J/KG
WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL WI AND SRN MN AMIDST 65-70 F SFC
DEW POINTS.

..EDWARDS.. 07/24/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

45219293 45749113 45069028 45288844 46008735 45898632
45708557 45218523 44528583 43818694 43268820 43029116
43499125 43499305 44509301 

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