[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 200348
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200348 
ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-200515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1575
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 PM CDT WED JUL 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN/NERN IA/SRN WI/NRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 200348Z - 200515Z

STORMS WILL INCREASE/SPREAD ESEWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS INTO AREAS
E OF TORNADO WATCH 623.  NEW WW LIKELY.

SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS IA...FUELING AN
INCREASE IN CONVECTION ACROSS SRN MN AND VICINITY.  THOUGH
INSTABILITY IS WEAKER E OF ONGOING STORMS...FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR WILL SUPPORT AN EWD SPREAD OF THE SEVERE THREAT AS SUBTLE
UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO WRN MN CONTINUES MOVING EWD.  STORMS
SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY ELEVATED WITH EWD EXTENT...SUGGESTING
THAT MAIN SEVERE THREAT SHOULD TREND WITH TIME TOWARD HAIL.

..GOSS.. 07/20/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...

44599224 44449066 43528847 42838786 41458816 42269199 

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