[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jul 12 18:14:49 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 121814
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121813 
WVZ000-VAZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-121945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1487
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0113 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN KY INTO SRN OH AND WRN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 121813Z - 121945Z

POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
WILL EXIST ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

A LINE OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A NE-SW
ORIENTED CONFLUENCE LINE FROM NEAR LEX TO BWG WITH ADDITIONAL MORE
ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT OBSERVED OVER NERN KY INTO SRN OH.  WHILE
BOUNDARY LAYER OVER KY INTO WV HAS BECOME RELATIVELY HOT AND
MOIST...RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS INDICATE THAT RATHER WARM MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES /I.E. AOA -6 C 500 MB/ ARE LIKELY LIMITED INSTABILITY
/MLCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG/.  DESPITE THIS WEAK INSTABILITY...CURRENT
LOUISVILLE VWP SHOWS RELATIVELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR OF AROUND 35
KTS IN THE LOWEST 3 KM AGL...SUPPORTIVE OF STORM
ORGANIZATION/ROTATION.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY POTENTIAL
UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A BOWING OR LEWP LINE STRUCTURE.

..MEAD.. 07/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...

36778657 38058538 38768396 39048241 38908159 38248128
37538144 36698378 36618618 

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