[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Jul 11 01:28:22 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 110127
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110127 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-110400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1472
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0827 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN OK

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 110127Z - 110400Z

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THE NEXT HOUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NRN/CENTRAL OK...BUT MERGING OUTFLOWS/STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER
SHOULD DIMINISH HAIL/WIND THREAT. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY
ACROSS THE NERN QUARTER OF OK...SERN KS...SWRN MO AND FAR NWRN AR
TONIGHT.

A STATIONARY EAST-WEST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED ACROSS
CENTRAL OK...WHILE ANOTHER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WITH CONVECTION...
STRETCHED FROM WEST OF TUL SWWD TO OKC AND LTS MOVING SLOWLY EWD.
EVENING SOUNDINGS SHOW THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION IS VERY MOIST
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING TWO INCHES. A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IN THE TX PANHANDLE...LIFTING SLOWLY EWD...WILL AID THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW LEVEL JET FROM SWRN OK NEWD INTO SWRN MO BY MID
EVENING. THE MOIST AIR MASS BEING LIFTED ABOVE THE RAIN COOLED
BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD MAINTAIN THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE E-W
ORIENTED BOUNDARY. WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL...ARE LIKELY TO MOVE ACROSS THE SAME GENERAL AREAS WHERE
POCKETS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY.

..IMY.. 07/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

36169364 34959619 35169703 36159774 37309621 37949498
37959383 37429352 36999336 

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