[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jul 10 21:54:54 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 102154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102154 
OKZ000-TXZ000-110000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1471
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 PM CDT MON JUL 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF WRN OK / FAR ERN TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102154Z - 110000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON.

FIRST ROUND OF STORMS HAVE LEFT COOL OUTFLOW ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
OK. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES REMAIN VERY HOT />100F/ OVER SWRN
OK...WITH ABOUT 1.75 IN. PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINING. GIVEN THE
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...A RELATIVE MAXIMUM IN DCAPE ~1000 J/KG IS
PRESENT ACROSS SWRN OK.

SLY FLOW AROUND 850 MB WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING...AND WILL
MAINTAIN A FLOW OF UNSTABLE AIR EVEN ATOP COOLER AIR AT THE SURFACE
OVER CENTRAL OK. ALSO...NEW DEVELOPMENT HAS FORMED ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE...WITH MEAN WINDS TAKING THIS ACTIVITY EWD.

THEREFORE...THE THREAT REMAINS FOR A FEW SVR WIND GUSTS ALONG THE
I-40/I-44 CORRIDORS.

..JEWELL.. 07/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...AMA...

35360101 36309960 36449869 36629781 36469713 36099718
35829780 35219743 34999667 34609624 33949640 33859687
34179795 34629917 35000063 

WWWW