[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Mon Jul 3 20:55:55 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 032055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032054 
NCZ000-VAZ000-032230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA/NERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 578...

VALID 032054Z - 032230Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS VALID PORTIONS OF WW.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS BROKEN LINE OF STORMS MOVING SEWD ACROSS
SERN VA -- WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NOW EVIDENT EXPANDING SEWD AHEAD
OF STORMS.

CONVECTION HAS NOT ORGANIZED/INTENSIFIED AS ANTICIPATED...THOUGH
STORMS ARE NOW APPROACHING AXIS OF MAXIMUM INSTABILITY.  STORMS MAY
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS THEY MOVE INTO THIS MORE
FAVORABLE AIRMASS.  HOWEVER...OVERALL LACK OF MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION
THUS FAR SUGGESTS THAT SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED GIVEN
RELATIVELY WEAK WIND FIELD.

..GOSS.. 07/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

37597756 37497708 36497563 35057686 35737844 36417902
36757831 

WWWW





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