[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jul 2 03:09:53 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020309 
ILZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-020445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1410
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 PM CDT SAT JUL 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN NEB AND CENTRAL/SRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 020309Z - 020445Z

ELEVATED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN NEB INTO
CENTRAL/SRN IA...WITH ISOLATED HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.

LATE EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM ERN
IA SWWD INTO SWRN IA TO JUST NORTH OF THE KS/NEB BORDER. 
STRENGTHENING SSWLY LLJ /25 KT/ WHICH EXTENDED FROM WRN OK INTO
SRN-SERN NEB/SRN IA IS RESULTING IN INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT
NORTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND AIDING IN ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT FROM CENTRAL NEB INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL IA AT THIS TIME. 
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES /30-35 KT/...MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7-8 C/KM PER
00Z SOUNDINGS/ WILL SUPPORT HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

..PETERS.. 07/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

40759977 41369985 41769968 42039853 42059737 42159606
42349445 42479333 42669229 42779120 42509065 42049058
41589168 41109425 40989564 40649769 40429959 

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