[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 012044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012043 
MIZ000-WIZ000-012245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT SAT JUL 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...UPR MI...NRN/CENTRAL WI...NRN LAKE MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 567...

VALID 012043Z - 012245Z

STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE INTENSIFYING IN A BAND FROM ERN UPR MI SWWD
INTO NORTH CENTRAL WI...WITH ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF THE BAND FROM TAYLOR INTO OCONTO COUNTIES IN WI.  THE STORM
IN WRN OCONTO COUNTY HAS ACQUIRED SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS...
WITH ATTENDANT POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF
TORNADO.

ALL STORMS ARE MOVING EWD INTO A MOIST ENVIRONMENT /SURFACE
DEWPOINTS MID/UPPER 60S/ WHERE DIURNAL HEATING HAS WARMED
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S...CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF
1000-2000 J/KG.  STRONG 50-60 KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK MOVING EWD
ACROSS CENTRAL WI INTO NRN LOWER MI IS ENHANCING DYNAMIC FORCING FOR
LARGE SCALE ASCENT...AND RESULTING IN STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF
40-45 KT.  POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE
INCREASING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS STORMS MOVE EWD 30-35 KT.

..WEISS.. 07/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...

44259011 44619074 45229086 45679023 46178807 46588667
46818540 46788492 45578590 44048688 43808729 44048939 

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