[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Jul 1 04:11:51 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 010412
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010412 
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-010545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1112 PM CDT FRI JUN 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND/NERN SD/NWRN-WEST CENTRAL MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 564...565...

VALID 010412Z - 010545Z

THREAT FOR STRONG WINDS AND HAIL TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS IN WW/S 564 AND 565. CURRENT RADAR TRENDS
SUGGEST GREATEST THREAT WITHIN WW 565 SHOULD REMAIN ALONG THE NRN
TIER OF COUNTIES FROM ROBERTS COUNTY SD TO TODD COUNTY MN.

ASCENT AHEAD OF WELL DEFINED SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY LOCATED
FROM SRN MANITOBA INTO THE ERN DAKOTAS...WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORMS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITHIN ONGOING
CLUSTERS OF ACTIVITY NOW OVER ERN ND/NERN SD.  POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD IN MN PER 40-45
KT MOVEMENT OF BOW ECHO WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDED FROM RICHLAND
COUNTY ND INTO NWRN ROBERTS COUNTY SD. DAMAGING WIND THREAT SHOULD
REACH WRN MN COUNTIES OF OTTER TAIL...GRANT AND DOUGLAS BETWEEN
05-06Z.

FARTHER N...STORMS HAVE GRADUALLY WEAKENED IN INTENSITY...BUT
EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 35 KT SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITHIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

..PETERS.. 07/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...

44559464 44449870 45449884 45939983 46369987 46569916
47309873 48319903 48749889 48969779 49299467 48229459
46149441 45089423 

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