[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jan 2 23:15:45 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 022316
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022316 
SCZ000-GAZ000-030045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0026
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 PM CST MON JAN 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN GA THROUGH SWRN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 10...

VALID 022316Z - 030045Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS E CNTRL
GA NEXT COUPLE HOURS. THREAT MAY GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO ERN GA AND
PARTS OF WRN SC. WW MAY BE NEEDED E OF WW 10 IF CONVECTIVE TRENDS
SUGGEST STORMS WILL MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY AS THEY CONTINUE EWD.

EARLY THIS EVENING CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS CONTINUE ACROSS E CNTRL GA.
ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING IN AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WITHIN
ZONE OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A VORT MAX MOVING EWD THROUGH BASE OF
UPPER TROUGH. VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG AND N OF 50 KT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET
AXIS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES
AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD. WEDGE FRONT EXTENDS FROM NC SWWD THROUGH
WRN SC. STRATUS DECK PERSISTS S OF WEDGE FRONT IN WAKE OF EARLIER
CONVECTION AND INSTABILITY GRADUALLY WEAKENS TOWARD WRN SC. THIS
COULD POSE A LIMITING FACTOR AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD. NEVERTHELESS
A MAY BE NEEDED IF CONVECTIVE TRENDS SUGGEST STORMS WILL MAINTAIN
THEIR INTENSITY AS THEY APPROACH THE ERN EDGE OF WW 10.

..DIAL.. 01/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

33228322 33918296 33878248 33878207 33858158 32798151
32288293 

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