[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Dec 1 08:09:56 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 010811
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010811 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-010915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2257
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 AM CST FRI DEC 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND PARTS OF ERN KY/SERN IND/SWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 010811Z - 010915Z

TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND PARTS OF ERN KY...SERN
IND...AND SWRN OH.  

SURFACE LOW...NOW LOCATED ALONG OH RIVER NEAR EVV...WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS STRONG UPPER LOW OVER SERN MO UNDERGOES FURTHER
DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS NEWD INTO IL BY 12Z.  WARM FRONT EXTENDING
NEWD FROM LOW TO JUST S OF CVG TO JUST S OF CMH IS EXPECTED TO
RETREAT SLOWLY NWD AS WARM SECTOR CONTINUES TO MODIFY WITH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS RISING THROUGH THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S ACROSS CENTRAL
KY TO SERN IND/SWRN OH.  DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY AND LOW-TOPPED
LINE OF CONVECTION ALONG COLD FRONT...INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WITH BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..PETERS.. 12/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...

36758594 38028593 39038559 39698458 39758346 38978311
37358356 36618451 36678593 

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