[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Aug 31 00:20:58 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 310023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310022 
NCZ000-SCZ000-310115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1916
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0722 PM CDT WED AUG 30 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC INT NERN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 759...

VALID 310022Z - 310115Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
01-02Z...WITH SEVERE THREAT GRADUALLY DECREASING THEREAFTER.

AS OF 0015Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A BROKEN CONVECTIVE LINE
FROM NEAR RDU TO 35 W FLO WITH A GENERAL MOTION OF 255/20-25 KTS. 
00Z MHX SOUNDING INDICATES THAT INFLOW AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST
AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. 
HOWEVER...VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF STORM
ORGANIZATION WITH STORMS LIKELY WEAKENING IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS AS
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESULTANT SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
DECREASE.  PRIOR TO THIS TIME...STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OWING TO DCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.

..MEAD.. 08/31/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...

35127912 35547886 35827852 35987802 35837732 35207720
34077887 33768002 34058036 

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