[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Aug 23 22:57:14 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 232236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232236 
INZ000-MIZ000-240000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1859
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0536 PM CDT WED AUG 23 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...N CENTRAL AND NWRN INDIANA/SWRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 232236Z - 240000Z

STRONG/ROTATING STORMS CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS SRN LK MI...AND WILL
AFFECT PARTS OF NWRN INDIANA AND ADJACENT SWRN LOWER MI IN THE NEXT
HOUR.  NEW WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

LATEST RADAR LOOP CONTINUES TO SHOW LARGE STORMS MOVING SEWD ACROSS
SRN LK MI...ON ERN FRINGES OF INSTABILITY AXIS ORIENTED NW-SE ALONG
SURFACE BOUNDARY.  SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EVIDENT ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NWRN INDIANA AND ADJACENT SWRN LOWER MI...GIVEN FAVORABLE/VEERING
DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD AND AMPLE INSTABILITY.  

HOWEVER...AREAL EXTENT OF THREAT APPEARS TO BE LIMITED...AS
INSTABILITY DECREASES RAPIDLY WITH EWD EXTENT. LATEST OBJECTIVE
ANALYSES SHOW LITTLE IF ANY INSTABILITY ATTM E OF A N-S AXIS
INCLUDING WELLS/WHITLEY/NOBLE/LAGRANGE COUNTIES IN INDIANA AND
BRANCH/CALHOUN COUNTIES IN LOWER MI.  UNLESS STORMS CAN TURN
DRAMATICALLY SWD AND REMAIN OVER WRN AND CENTRAL INDIANA -- WHICH IS
NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM -- WW WILL LIKELY NOT BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 08/23/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...LOT...

42678723 42688602 42008534 41178532 40948612 41458748
42208755 