[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Aug 6 22:21:14 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 062222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062221 
MDZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-062345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1759
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0521 PM CDT SUN AUG 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN-SERN OH/WRN-NRN WV/SWRN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 062221Z - 062345Z

ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SERN-ERN OH...WRN-NRN WV INTO SWRN PA THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

A FEW DIURNALLY-DRIVEN SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
SERN-ERN OH AND WRN-NRN WV INTO SWRN PA WHERE THE AIR MASS HAS
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE /MLCAPE UP TO 2000 J/KG/.  WEAK MID LEVEL
IMPULSE PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS LOWER MI/NRN OH AT THIS TIME SHOULD
PROVIDE SOME ASCENT ACROSS THE AREA OF CONCERN FOR ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  DEEP LAYER WLY WINDS WITH
30-35 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR LINE
SEGMENTS.  THUS...PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD BE FROM ISOLATED WET
MICROBURSTS WITH THE STRONGER CORES...WHILE WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES LIMIT SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL.

..PETERS.. 08/06/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

38898187 39418223 39998223 40378190 40678125 40778050
40647974 39767949 39467938 38997979 38728067 38638163 

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