[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Sun Aug 6 04:14:45 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 060415
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060415 
MNZ000-060515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 PM CDT SAT AUG 05 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 688...

VALID 060415Z - 060515Z

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO MAINLY FAR
NORTH CENTRAL-NERN MN FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WHILE OVERALL SEVERE
THREAT CONTINUES TO DIMINISH.

FORCING FOR ASCENT CONTINUES TO SPREAD EWD AHEAD OF VIGOROUS SHORT
WAVE TROUGH...NOW CENTERED OVER MANITOBA...WITH THE STRONGEST ASCENT
MAINLY FOCUSED NORTH OF THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER.  LOW LEVEL WAA
ALONG NOSE OF 35 KT SWLY LLJ INDICATED OVER NERN MN PER DLH WSR-88D
VWP SHOULD ALLOW SRN EXTENT OF ONTARIO STORM CLUSTER TO PROGRESS EWD
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL-NERN MN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  SEVERE
THREAT WILL...HOWEVER...CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS STRONGEST FORCING
AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM NRN MN.

..PETERS.. 08/06/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...

48249146 47159295 46289307 46199404 46429473 47349456
48689431 48689295 

WWWW





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