[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Aug 3 23:35:22 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 032336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032335 
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-040030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1736
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CDT THU AUG 03 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND/LONG ISLAND/NRN NJ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 684...

VALID 032335Z - 040030Z

THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS SRN-SERN CT...SRN
RI...SERN MA...MUCH OF LONG ISLAND AND NERN NJ THROUGH 01-02Z.

SURFACE MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SHOWED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING WWD
ALONG THE RI/SERN CT COAST TO A COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVING EWD ACROSS
SRN CT AT THIS TIME...WHILE A SECOND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED SWD
TO ERN LONG ISLAND AND WWD ALONG LONG ISLAND TO NRN NJ. 
MEANWHILE...A BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WAS MOVING SWWD THROUGH ERN MA
AND CURRENTLY EXTENDED FROM NEAR 25 N ORH TO 15 SSE EWB.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED STRONGEST STORMS WERE LOCATED OVER SERN CT
IN MIDDLESEX AND NEW LONDON COUNTIES.  THE AIR MASS W OF THE
BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT INTO NJ REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES UP TO 35 KT SUPPORTING ORGANIZED STORMS.
THUS...THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS EXISTS
ESPECIALLY WITH THE SERN CT ACTIVITY AS IT SPREADS EWD ACROSS SRN RI
TO OFF THE SERN MA COAST.

..PETERS.. 08/03/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...PHI...BGM...CTP...

41027611 41367484 41297372 41657265 41847210 41877053
40577067 40217358 39967504 40137609 

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