[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Sun Aug 27 02:44:56 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 270247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270246 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-270415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1897
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0946 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SW TO NE OK/SE KS/SW MO

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 752...

VALID 270246Z - 270415Z

THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH WITHIN VALID PART
OF WW 752...BUT PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO PERSIST FROM
SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL TO NE OK INTO PARTS OF SE KS/SW MO.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED INTO ERN
KS/NERN OK WITH LEADING EDGE OF ASCENT SUPPORTING STRONGEST STORMS
WITHIN VALID PART OF WW 752 OVER NERN OK AND FAR SERN KS.  AIR MASS
ACROSS NERN OK TO SWRN MO REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR VALUES UP TO 35 KT RESULTING IN A CONTINUED THREAT FOR A
FEW SEVERE STORMS INTO THE LATE EVENING ACROSS NERN PART OF WW 752.
MEANWHILE...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL OK...WITH A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL
EXPECTED TO PERSIST FROM SW TO NE OK.

FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO LATEST
HPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION AND NESDIS SATELLITE PRECIPITATION
ESTIMATES STATEMENT FOR THIS REGION.

..PETERS.. 08/27/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

37989409 36599406 35389534 34899664 34519787 34279896
34519970 35069988 36149929 36959791 37389661 38039565 

WWWW





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