[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Aug 25 22:57:10 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 252259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252258 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-260030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1886
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0558 PM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS/PARTS OF NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 252258Z - 260030Z

SEVERE THREAT EVOLVING ACROSS NERN KS AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NWRN MO
MAY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS /AROUND 3000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE/ IS
INDICATED ACROSS NERN KS AND ADJACENT NWRN MO NEAR AND JUST S OF
SURFACE BOUNDARY LYING WSW-ENE ACROSS THIS REGION.  STORMS CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR NERN KS -- IN A SMALL CLUSTER NEAR/JUST N OF
SURFACE FRONT. 

THOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...FAVORABLE
VEERING -- PARTICULARLY NEAR AND JUST N OF FRONT -- APPEARS
SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL/WEAK SUPERCELL ORGANIZATION.  WITH STORM
COVERAGE FORECAST TO INCREASE AS MODEST SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET EVOLVES
THROUGH THIS EVENING...THREAT MAY WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 08/25/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

38619815 40059677 40239516 40289360 39159261 38589370 

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