[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Aug 2 19:02:22 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 021903
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021903 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-022030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1710
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 PM CDT WED AUG 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NEW YORK INTO MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 671...

VALID 021903Z - 022030Z

CONTINUE WW 671 AND WW 672.

MOST VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS STILL THAT WHICH DEVELOPED IN
IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE SOUTHERN SHORES OF
LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE MOHAWK VALLEY...AND OFF THE ADIRONDACKS IN
PARTS OF WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.  ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND
INTENSIFICATION APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH 21-22Z... SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
HOT MOIST ENVIRONMENT FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO PARTS OF THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...WHERE 20 TO 30 KT LOWER/MID LEVEL FLOW MAY
ENHANCE DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES.  OTHERWISE...PRIMARY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH
IMPULSE ROUNDING UPPER RIDGE ALREADY APPEARS TO BE SHIFTING EAST OF
NORTHERN NEW YORK INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...AND COULD SUPPORT
CONSOLIDATING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MAINE
WITHIN NEXT FEW HOURS.

..KERR.. 08/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

43637989 43417749 43517587 43647425 44707299 45587288
45587117 44546865 43986925 42957069 41967175 41697368
42527557 43087985 

WWWW