[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Aug 2 04:10:48 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 020412
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020411 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-020545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1700
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 PM CDT TUE AUG 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS MAINE...NRN NH...NRN VT.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 668...

VALID 020411Z - 020545Z

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DAMAGING WIND HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM NRN NEW
ENGLAND...HOWEVER OVERALL WEAKENING TENDENCY IS UNDERWAY.

OCCASIONAL DAMAGING GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH MOST INTENSE
REMAINING PORTION OF MCS -- MOVING SEWD 30-40 KT ACROSS REGION FROM
ERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY SWWD TOWARD AUG.  FARTHER SE THROUGH DOWNEAST
MAINE...SVR POTENTIAL SHOULD DIMINISH AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO AREA OF
STRONGER STATIC STABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH DIABATIC SFC
COOLING...AND PROGRESSIVELY COOLER MARINE LAYER.  FARTHER
W...ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY WITH OVERALL SVR THREAT
RATHER ISOLATED/MRGL.  ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG GUST
FRONT AS IT MOVES SEWD THROUGH WRN MAINE...AND ALL BUT SRN PORTIONS
VT/NH. HOWEVER...ANY SUCH CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE NEWD ATOP OUTFLOW
AIR MASS WITH ASSOCIATED MITIGATION OF SVR WIND POTENTIAL.  WW MAY
BE CLEARED FROM NW-SE BEHIND PRIMARY MCS ACROSS MOST OF MAIN AND NH.
 IF PRESENT TRENDS CONTINUE AS ANTICIPATED...REMAINDER WW MAY BE
CANCELED BEFORE SCHEDULED 6Z EXPIRATION.

..EDWARDS.. 08/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

44737258 44477115 44956969 46256821 47076780 45666783
45586736 45176743 45166714 44806694 44376809 43786994
43607021 42887082 42767109 42787136 43177191 43337324
43787335 43747403 44067433 44447389 45007400 45007339 

WWWW