[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Aug 1 10:02:48 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 011004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011003 
VTZ000-NYZ000-011300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1690
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0503 AM CDT TUE AUG 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN/EAST CENTRAL NY...SRN/WRN VT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 011003Z - 011300Z

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SSEWD INTO THE HUDSON
VALLEY WITH POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER. 
WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN WARM ADVECTION REGIME
EXTENDING FROM NERN INTO EAST CENTRAL NY...AS LATEST VAD WIND
PROFILES MAINTAIN DEEP LAYER WNWLY FLOW ALOFT INTO WARM FRONT. GPS
INTEGRATED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES HAVE INCREASED TO GREATER THAN
2 INCHES OVER THIS REGION INDICATING AMPLE MOISTURE FOR CONTINUED
GENERATION OF HEAVY RAIN.  IN ADDITION...NEW CELLS ARE REDEVELOPING
OVER EXTREME NRN FRANKLIN CNTY WHICH IS INCREASING THE POSSIBILITY
OF REPEAT HEAVY RAINS SPREADING SSEWD ACROSS THE REGION.

STORMS HAVE ORGANIZED INTO A LINEAR STRUCTURE FROM SRN ST LAWRENCE
ACROSS EXTREME SRN FRANKLIN INTO SRN ESSEX CNTY MOVING SSEWD AT
25-30 KT WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS /G35KT
REPORTED AT SLK AT 0911Z/ INTO NRN PARTS OF HAMILTON AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

..WEISS.. 08/01/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

44067457 44617473 45027451 45017408 44657361 43847275
43157269 42847316 42767401 43447459 

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