[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 252052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252052 
TXZ000-252245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/NERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 252052Z - 252245Z

SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG
MID-LEVEL COLD FRONT...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.
A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN MARGINAL AND FAIRLY ISOLATED NATURE OF
THREAT.

ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL TX
AHEAD OF A 700 MB COLD FRONT. RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE MOST UNSTABLE
PARCELS NEAR THIS LEVEL POSSESSING CAPES OF AROUND 500 TO 750 J/KG.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS MODEST /AROUND 30 TO 40 KTS/. THIS WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS WHICH WILL PRODUCE HAIL...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
MARGINALLY SEVERE. QPF SIGNAL FROM 09Z SREF INDICATES ACTIVITY
SHOULD PERSIST AND SPREAD EWD INTO PORTIONS OF NERN TX INTO THE
EVENING.

..GRAMS.. 04/25/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...SJT...

31200114 31650059 32369939 32759848 33259733 33589602
33319552 32829538 32169547 31679618 31339730 31049876
30859989 30930063 

WWWW